> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.predictamarkets.com/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

# User Guide

> Complete guide to using Predicta Markets - Learn how to trade, create markets, and manage your portfolio

## Welcome to Predicta Markets

Predicta is a prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcome of real-world events — sports, politics, finance, and more. This guide covers everything you need to get started and trade with confidence.

<CardGroup cols={2}>
  <Card title="Getting Started" icon="rocket" href="/user-guide/getting-started">
    New to Predicta? Start here to create your account and make your first trade.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Understanding Markets" icon="chart-line" href="/user-guide/understanding-markets">
    Learn how prediction markets work and what makes them unique.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Trading Guide" icon="hand-holding-dollar" href="/user-guide/trading-basics">
    Step-by-step instructions for placing orders and trading.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Account & Payments" icon="wallet" href="/user-guide/funding-account">
    Manage your account, fund it, and withdraw your winnings.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Creating Markets" icon="plus-circle" href="/user-guide/creating-markets">
    Learn how to create your own prediction markets.
  </Card>

  <Card title="Portfolio Management" icon="briefcase" href="/user-guide/portfolio-overview">
    Track your positions and manage your trading portfolio.
  </Card>
</CardGroup>

## What are Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets are platforms where you trade shares based on the outcome of future events. The price of a share reflects the collective probability that an event will occur — making them one of the most accurate forecasting tools available.

### Simple Example

* **Market**: "Will Team A win the championship?"
* You can buy **YES** shares if you think they will win
* You can buy **NO** shares if you think they won't
* If you're right, your shares pay out at full value
* If you're wrong, your shares are worth nothing

### How Prices Work

* **YES Price**: The current price to buy one YES share (0–100)
  * If YES = 75, it costs 75¢ to buy one share
  * If the event happens, that share pays out \$1.00
  * Your profit: 25¢ per share

* **NO Price**: The current price to buy one NO share (0–100)
  * If NO = 25, it costs 25¢ to buy one share
  * If the event doesn't happen, that share pays out \$1.00
  * Your profit: 75¢ per share

* **Price Interpretation**:
  * YES at 80 → Market thinks 80% chance it happens
  * NO at 20 → Market thinks 20% chance it doesn't happen
  * Prices change as people trade and new information arrives

<Tip>
  **Key Insight**: YES price + NO price always equals 100. This keeps the market consistent with probabilities at all times.
</Tip>

## Why Use Prediction Markets?

* **Information Aggregation**: Markets efficiently combine knowledge from all participants
* **Real-Time Insights**: Prices update instantly as new information arrives
* **Financial Incentive**: You profit when your predictions are correct
* **Learning Tool**: See what the crowd collectively thinks about future events
* **Community**: Engage with other traders and market creators around events you care about

## Quick Navigation

<AccordionGroup>
  <Accordion title="I'm completely new — where do I start?">
    Start with the [Getting Started Guide](/user-guide/getting-started), which covers account creation, funding, and your first trade.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="I want to understand how markets work">
    Check out [Understanding Markets](/user-guide/understanding-markets) to learn about market types, prices, and how they resolve.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="I'm ready to start trading">
    Head to the [Trading Guide](/user-guide/trading-basics) for step-by-step instructions on placing orders.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="I want to create my own market">
    Learn how in [Creating Markets](/user-guide/creating-markets) — anyone can submit a market on Predicta.
  </Accordion>

  <Accordion title="I have questions about payments or withdrawals">
    See [Funding Your Account](/user-guide/funding-account) and [Withdrawing Funds](/user-guide/withdrawing-funds) for full details on all payment methods.
  </Accordion>
</AccordionGroup>