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Welcome to Predicta Markets

Predicta is a prediction market platform where you can trade on future events. This guide will teach you everything you need to know to get started and become a successful trader.

Getting Started

New to Predicta? Start here to learn the basics.

Understanding Markets

Learn how prediction markets work and what makes them unique.

Trading Guide

Step-by-step instructions for placing orders and trading.

Account & Payments

Manage your account, fund it, and withdraw your winnings.

Creating Markets

Learn how to create your own prediction markets.

Portfolio Management

Track your positions and manage your trading portfolio.

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What are Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets are platforms where you can trade shares based on the outcome of future events. Think of them as a way to bet on whether something will happen or not, but with a market-based pricing system that reflects the collective wisdom of all participants.

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Simple Example

  • Market: “Will it rain tomorrow?”
  • You can buy YES shares if you think it will rain
  • You can buy NO shares if you think it won’t rain
  • If you’re right, your shares pay out at 100 (or $1.00 per share)
  • If you’re wrong, your shares are worth 0

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How Prices Work

  • YES Price: The current price to buy one YES share (0-100)
    • If YES = 75, it costs $0.75 to buy one share
    • If the event happens, that share pays $1.00
    • Your profit: $0.25 per share
  • NO Price: The current price to buy one NO share (0-100)
    • If NO = 25, it costs $0.25 to buy one share
    • If the event doesn’t happen, that share pays $1.00
    • Your profit: $0.75 per share
  • Price Interpretation:
    • YES at 80 = Market thinks 80% chance it happens
    • NO at 20 = Market thinks 20% chance it doesn’t happen
    • Prices change as people trade and new information arrives
Key Insight: YES price + NO price always equals 100. This ensures the market always reflects probabilities correctly.

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Why Use Prediction Markets?

  • Information Aggregation: Markets efficiently combine everyone’s knowledge
  • Real-Time Insights: Prices update as new information arrives
  • Financial Incentive: You profit when you’re right
  • Learning Tool: See what the “crowd” thinks about future events
  • Entertainment: Engaging way to follow events you care about

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Quick Navigation

Start with our Getting Started Guide which covers account creation, funding, and your first trade.
Check out Understanding Markets to learn about market types, prices, and how they resolve.
Head to our Trading Guide for step-by-step instructions on placing orders.
Learn how in Creating Markets - anyone can create markets on Predicta!