User Guide

Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.predictamarkets.com/llms.txt

Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

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Welcome to Predicta Markets

Predicta is a prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcome of real-world events — sports, politics, finance, and more. This guide covers everything you need to get started and trade with confidence.

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What are Prediction Markets?

Prediction markets are platforms where you trade shares based on the outcome of future events. The price of a share reflects the collective probability that an event will occur — making them one of the most accurate forecasting tools available.

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Simple Example

• Market: “Will Team A win the championship?”
• You can buy YES shares if you think they will win
• You can buy NO shares if you think they won’t
• If you’re right, your shares pay out at full value
• If you’re wrong, your shares are worth nothing

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How Prices Work

• YES Price: The current price to buy one YES share (0–100)
  • If YES = 75, it costs 75¢ to buy one share
  • If the event happens, that share pays out $1.00
  • Your profit: 25¢ per share
• NO Price: The current price to buy one NO share (0–100)
  • If NO = 25, it costs 25¢ to buy one share
  • If the event doesn’t happen, that share pays out $1.00
  • Your profit: 75¢ per share
• Price Interpretation:
  • YES at 80 → Market thinks 80% chance it happens
  • NO at 20 → Market thinks 20% chance it doesn’t happen
  • Prices change as people trade and new information arrives

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Why Use Prediction Markets?

• Information Aggregation: Markets efficiently combine knowledge from all participants
• Real-Time Insights: Prices update instantly as new information arrives
• Financial Incentive: You profit when your predictions are correct
• Learning Tool: See what the crowd collectively thinks about future events
• Community: Engage with other traders and market creators around events you care about

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